Is the p value really so significant?*

Is the p value really so significant?

Is the Universe Really so Simple?

The intriguing recent suggestion of Tegmark that the universe—contrary to all our experiences and expectations—contains only a small amount of information due to an extremely high degree of internal symmetry is critically examined. It is shown that there are several physical processes, notably Hawking evaporation of black holes and non-zero decoherence time effects described by Plaga, as well a...

Is the New Immigration Really So Bad?

Is the New Immigration Really So Bad? This paper reviews the recent evidence on U.S. immigration, focusing on two key questions: (1) Does immigration reduce the labor market opportunities of less-skilled natives? (2) Have immigrants who arrived after the 1965 Immigration Reform Act successfully assimilated? Looking across major cities, differential immigrant inflows are strongly correlated with...

What does the p value really mean?

Consider an experiment in which 10 subjects receive a placebo, and another 10 receive an experimental diuretic. After 8 h, the average urine output in the placebo group is 769 mL, versus 814 mL in the diuretic group—a difference of 45 mL (Figure 1). How do we know if that difference means the drug works and is not just a result of chance? of 45 mL in the average urine output between groups unde...

P-value: What is and what is not

The misinterpretation and misuse of p-value have been increasing for decades. In March 2016, the American Statistical Association released a statement to warn about the use and interpretation of p-value. In this study, we provided a definition and discussion of p-value and emphasized the importance of its accurate interpretation.